UEFA Conference League, round 2 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Lincoln Red Imps FC — FC Twente

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Model prediction for 22 October

Lincoln Red Imps FC14%
Draw20%
FC Twente65%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

FC Twente are clear favourites: 65% against 14% for the opponent, draw 20%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FC Twente are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • FC Twente: unbeaten in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lincoln Red Imps FC — FC Twente What is xG?0.9–2.1
Lincoln Red Imps FC not to lose35%
FC Twente not to lose86%
No draw80%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Lincoln Red Imps FC
  • Lincoln Red Imps FC goals
  • FC Twente goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Lincoln Red Imps FC

  • 18.12away · Legia Warszawa1:4
  • 11.12Sigma Olomouc2:1
  • 27.11away · Hamrun Spartans1:3
  • 06.11Rijeka1:1
  • 23.10Lech Poznań2:1

FC Twente

  • 10.10away · Fortuna Sittard1:1
  • 20.09PSV Eindhoven3:2
  • 12.09ADO Den Haag2:0
  • 09.09Telstar1:0
  • 06.09away · FC Groningen2:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Conference League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →