Uruguayan Primera Division, round 11 · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Liverpool FC — Club Atletico Peñarol
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Club Atletico Peñarol are slightly stronger: 44% against 26%, draw 30%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Club Atletico Peñarol are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Liverpool FC: unbeaten in 4; Club Atletico Peñarol: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Liverpool FC 2 wins, Club Atletico Peñarol 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Liverpool FC — Club Atletico Peñarol What is xG? | 1.0–1.3 | |
| Liverpool FC not to lose | 56% | |
| Club Atletico Peñarol not to lose | 74% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Liverpool FC
- Liverpool FC goals
- Club Atletico Peñarol goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Deportivo Maldonado1:1
- 03.10Club Atlético Progreso3:2
- 27.09away · Central Español2:1
- 21.09Racing0:0
- 15.09away · Montevideo City Torque1:3
- 11.10Club Atlético Progreso1:1
- 05.10away · Racing1:0
- 01.10away · Montevideo City Torque1:1
- 27.09Boston River2:1
- 19.09away · Cerro2:1
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Club Atletico Peñarol — Liverpool FC2:1
- 14.04.2026Club Atletico Peñarol — Liverpool FC0:2
- 17.11.2025Liverpool FC — Club Atletico Peñarol1:2
- 13.09.2025Liverpool FC — Club Atletico Peñarol2:2
- 19.06.2025Liverpool FC — Club Atletico Peñarol3:2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →