Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Llaneros FC — Deportivo Cali

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Model prediction for 22 October

Llaneros FC36%
Draw31%
Deportivo Cali33%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Llaneros FC 36%, Deportivo Cali 33%, draw 31%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Llaneros FC — No. 12, 14 pts; Deportivo Cali — No. 2, 25 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • Llaneros FC: 3 defeats in a row; Deportivo Cali: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 3 meetings: Llaneros FC 1 win, Deportivo Cali 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Llaneros FC — Deportivo Cali What is xG?1.2–1.1
Llaneros FC not to lose67%
Deportivo Cali not to lose64%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.541%
Total under 2.559%

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Form

Llaneros FC

  • 10.10away · Once Caldas0:1
  • 05.10América de Cali1:2
  • 27.09away · Cúcuta1:2
  • 21.09Atlético Nacional2:0
  • 13.09away · Internacional de Bogotá2:3

Deportivo Cali

  • 10.10away · Deportivo Pereira0:0
  • 03.10Alianza FC3:1
  • 28.09Águilas Doradas2:0
  • 23.09away · Santa Fe1:0
  • 20.09Cúcuta3:0

Head to head

  • 13.04.2026Deportivo Cali — Llaneros FC1:1
  • 02.08.2025Deportivo Cali — Llaneros FC0:3
  • 19.02.2025Llaneros FC — Deportivo Cali0:1

Full record: 3 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Clausura)
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Semi-final groupsAmérica de Cali1383225–9+1627
2, Semi-final groupsDeportivo Cali1374220–9+1125
3, Semi-final groupsBucaramanga1266021–11+1024
11Águilas Doradas1337317–18-116
12Llaneros FC1342715–17-214
13Internacional de Bogotá1428416–20-414

Season 2026 (Clausura)

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →