Ukrainian Premier League, round 8 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Cherkasy Arena
LNZ Cherkasy — Kudrivka
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1Came true
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, LNZ Cherkasy to win (65%), came true.
LNZ Cherkasy are clear favourites: 65% against 12% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings LNZ Cherkasy are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: LNZ Cherkasy — Kudrivka What is xG? | 1.7–0.6 | |
| LNZ Cherkasy not to lose | 88% | |
| Kudrivka not to lose | 35% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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- Handicap LNZ Cherkasy
- LNZ Cherkasy goals
- Kudrivka goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 20.09away · Shakhtar Donetsk0:3
- 12.09Obolon Kyiv3:1
- 06.09away · Dynamo Kyiv0:0
- 30.08Veres Rivne0:1
- 16.08Chornomorets Odesa2:0
- 03.10away · Veres Rivne1:2
- 20.09FC Kolos Kovalivka2:3
- 04.09away · Polissya Zhytomyr1:5
- 29.08Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0:3
- 15.08Obolon Kyiv0:0
Head to head
- 18.05.2026Kudrivka — LNZ Cherkasy1:0
- 29.11.2025LNZ Cherkasy — Kudrivka1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zorya | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Veres Rivne | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 15, Relegation | Obolon Kyiv | 7 | 0 | -10 | 4 |
| 16, Relegation | Kudrivka | 8 | 0 | -14 | 2 |
Next matches
- KudrivkaBukovyna Chernivtsi17 October · Ukrainian Premier League2731422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.1
- KryvbasLNZ Cherkasy18 October · Ukrainian Premier League363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 5027231The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
- 1831522The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:2.1.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →