Brazilian Serie B, round 34 · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

Londrina — Cuiabá

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Model prediction for 21 October

Londrina32%
Draw30%
Cuiabá38%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Londrina 32%, Cuiabá 38%, draw 30%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 46%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Cuiabá are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Londrina — Cuiabá What is xG?1.1–1.1
Londrina not to lose62%
Cuiabá not to lose68%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes46%
Both teams to score: no54%
Total over 2.537%
Total under 2.563%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Londrina
  • Londrina goals
  • Cuiabá goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Londrina

  • 08.10away · Avaí1:2
  • 03.10Criciúma0:2
  • 26.09away · Vila Nova0:2
  • 21.09Fortaleza1:2
  • 16.09Ponte Preta6:0

Cuiabá

  • 12.10Avaí0:1
  • 08.10away · Vila Nova0:0
  • 03.10Ponte Preta2:0
  • 27.09away · CRB0:3
  • 22.09Náutico3:0

Head to head

  • 26.06.2026Cuiabá — Londrina2:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
10Goiás331461334–40-648
11Cuiabá331114832–26+647
12São Bernardo3312101146–36+1046
17, RelegationAvaí331061733–43-1036
18, RelegationLondrina32771840–47-728
19, RelegationAmérica-MG33452421–54-3317

Season 2026

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →