Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · BMO Stadium
Los Angeles FC — Austin FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Los Angeles FC are clear favourites: 71% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Los Angeles FC are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Los Angeles FC — Austin FC What is xG? | 2.2–0.8 | |
| Los Angeles FC not to lose | 89% | |
| Austin FC not to lose | 29% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Los Angeles FC
- Los Angeles FC goals
- Austin FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Vancouver Whitecaps1:1
- 27.09away · FC Dallas0:1
- 20.09away · San Jose Earthquakes2:2
- 13.09away · Sporting Kansas City1:3
- 10.09Red Bull New York2:0
- 11.10Nashville SC1:4
- 27.09San Diego FC3:3
- 20.09away · FC Dallas0:0
- 14.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps2:1
- 10.09Colorado Rapids1:1
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Austin FC — Los Angeles FC0:0
- 03.11.2025Austin FC — Los Angeles FC1:4
- 30.10.2025Los Angeles FC — Austin FC2:1
- 13.10.2025Austin FC — Los Angeles FC1:0
- 15.03.2025Los Angeles FC — Austin FC0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 28 | 13 | +2 | 45 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | +13 | 42 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | +11 | 42 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
| 24 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | -15 | 31 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
MLS on the same day
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →