Major League Soccer (MLS), round 31 · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Los Angeles FC — LA Galaxy
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Los Angeles FC are clear favourites: 64% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Los Angeles FC are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Los Angeles FC — No. 11, 42 pts; LA Galaxy — No. 17, 36 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Los Angeles FC: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Los Angeles FC 2 wins, LA Galaxy 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Los Angeles FC — LA Galaxy What is xG? | 2.2–1.1 | |
| Los Angeles FC not to lose | 85% | |
| LA Galaxy not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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- Handicap Los Angeles FC
- Los Angeles FC goals
- LA Galaxy goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Vancouver Whitecaps1:1
- 27.09away · FC Dallas0:1
- 20.09away · San Jose Earthquakes2:2
- 13.09away · Sporting Kansas City1:3
- 10.09Red Bull New York2:0
- 12.10away · St. Louis City2:6
- 27.09Colorado Rapids3:2
- 20.09away · Minnesota United3:2
- 13.09Seattle Sounders FC1:1
- 10.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps0:3
Head to head
- 18.07.2026LA Galaxy — Los Angeles FC0:3
- 20.07.2025Los Angeles FC — LA Galaxy3:3
- 19.05.2025LA Galaxy — Los Angeles FC2:2
- 15.09.2024LA Galaxy — Los Angeles FC4:2
- 05.07.2024LA Galaxy — Los Angeles FC1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 28 | 13 | +2 | 45 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | +13 | 42 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | +11 | 42 |
| 16, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 17, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | LA Galaxy | 29 | 9 | -11 | 36 |
| 18, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Red Bull New York | 28 | 10 | -14 | 36 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →