Serie B, round 11 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
LR Vicenza — Cremonese
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In short
Cremonese are slightly stronger: 39% against 30%, draw 30%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cremonese are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: LR Vicenza — No. 17, 9 pts; Cremonese — No. 12, 12 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 2 meetings: LR Vicenza 0 wins, Cremonese 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: LR Vicenza — Cremonese What is xG? | 1.2–1.4 | |
| LR Vicenza not to lose | 61% | |
| Cremonese not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap LR Vicenza
- LR Vicenza goals
- Cremonese goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | LR Vicenza | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 1.14 | 1.25 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.64 | 1.22 |
| Shots | 12.6 | 11.2 |
| On target | 3.0 | 4.4 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 4.2 |
| Cards | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Possession, % | 48 | 48 |
Form
- 01.11away · Palermo1:3
- 27.10Modena1:2
- 23.10away · Empoli2:0
- 17.10away · Benevento2:2
- 10.10Pisa0:3
- 31.10Benevento2:0
- 27.10away · Mantova2:0
- 24.10Juve Stabia0:1
- 17.10away · Pisa1:3
- 10.10away · Arezzo0:0
Head to head
- 22.02.2022Cremonese — LR Vicenza0:0
- 26.09.2021LR Vicenza — Cremonese0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Juve Stabia | 10 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Cesena | 10 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Carrarese | 10 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 17, Relegation play-off | LR Vicenza | 10 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
| 18, Relegation | Empoli | 10 | 2 | -7 | 8 |
Serie B on the same day
- 313238XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- 353134XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →