Swiss Super League, round 12 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Luzern — Sion
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Luzern 36%, Sion 38%, draw 26%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 69%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Luzern — Sion What is xG? | 1.7–1.7 | |
| Luzern not to lose | 62% | |
| Sion not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 31% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Luzern
- Luzern goals
- Sion goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Lugano0:4
- 19.09Grasshopper5:1
- 13.09Basel2:4
- 05.09away · Young Boys3:3
- 02.09FC Vaduz2:1
- 10.10away · Servette0:3
- 19.09FC Zürich1:1
- 15.09away · Grasshopper5:2
- 12.09away · St. Gallen3:0
- 06.09Thun3:2
Head to head
- 02.08.2026Sion — Luzern3:0
- 07.02.2026Sion — Luzern0:0
- 24.01.2026Sion — Luzern1:1
- 04.10.2025Luzern — Sion3:3
- 23.02.2025Luzern — Sion2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Championship round | Young Boys | 10 | 6 | +15 | 22 |
| 3, Championship round | Sion | 10 | 6 | +6 | 19 |
| 4, Championship round | St. Gallen | 10 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 7, Relegation round | Basel | 10 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8, Relegation round | Luzern | 10 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 9, Relegation round | Thun | 10 | 3 | -10 | 10 |
Swiss Super League on the same day
- GrasshopperFC Vaduzpreliminary2826472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 2:33.9
- St. GallenServettepreliminary4427291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →