UEFA Conference League, round 3 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Mjällby — Borac Banja Luka
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Mjällby are clear favourites: 57% against 20% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- Mjällby's starting XI is worth €8m, Borac Banja Luka's €3m (Transfermarkt).
- By the strength ratings Mjällby are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Mjällby — No. 5, 3 pts; Borac Banja Luka — No. 26, 0 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Borac Banja Luka: winless in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mjällby — Borac Banja Luka What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| Mjällby not to lose | 80% | |
| Borac Banja Luka not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mjällby
- Mjällby goals
- Borac Banja Luka goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 15.10Inter Club d'Escaldes2:0
- 10.10Degerfors1:1
- 20.09GAIS0:3
- 16.09away · AIK1:1
- 11.09away · Häcken1:1
- 15.10away · Panathinaikos1:2
- 13.03away · Rapid Wien1:2
- 06.03Rapid Wien1:1
- 20.02away · Olimpija Ljubljana0:0
- 13.02Olimpija Ljubljana1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Straight to the round of 16 | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 5, Straight to the round of 16 | Mjällby | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 6, Straight to the round of 16 | St.Truiden | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 25 | Ajax | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
Conference League on the same day
- AtalantaKairat Almatypreliminary801371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- FC MidtjyllandAjaxpreliminary3926351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- FK Crvena ZvezdaInter Club d'Escaldespreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- KuPSGentpreliminary2023562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- Lincoln Red Imps FCHajduk Splitpreliminary3126432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- TrabzonsporFreiburgpreliminary4825271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- AGFBragapreliminary3526392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- ThunHeart of Midlothianpreliminary3326412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →