Egyptian Premier League, round 8 · Thursday, 29 October, 17:00 MSK

Modern Sport FC — Al Ahly SC

Model prediction for 29 October

Modern Sport FC17%

Draw27%

Al Ahly SC56%

Model estimate at 12:55 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Al Ahly SC are clear favourites: 56% against 17% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

By the strength ratings Al Ahly SC are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.

Facts

League table: Modern Sport FC — No. 4, 13 pts; Al Ahly SC — No. 2, 16 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
Modern Sport FC: 3 wins in a row; Al Ahly SC: unbeaten in 5.
Last 4 meetings: Modern Sport FC 1 win, Al Ahly SC 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Modern Sport FC — Al Ahly SC What is xG?		0.8–1.6
Modern Sport FC not to lose		44%
Al Ahly SC not to lose		83%
No draw		73%
Both teams to score: yes		47%
Both teams to score: no		53%
Total over 2.5		44%
Total under 2.5		56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Modern Sport FC
Modern Sport FC goals
Al Ahly SC goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

Modern Sport FC

12.10Al Sharkeyah-ENPPI3:2
15.09away · Asyut Petroleum2:0
09.09Wadi Degla FC2:1
02.09away · Ceramica Cleopatra0:2
27.08Ghazl Al Mahalla2:0

Al Ahly SC

11.10away · Zamalek SC2:0
15.09Abo Qir Semad2:0
09.09away · Al Mokawloon Al Arab1:1
03.09Smouha SC1:0
28.08away · ZED FC2:0

Head to head

09.08.2025Modern Sport FC — Al Ahly SC2:2
02.02.2025Modern Sport FC — Al Ahly SC1:3
17.08.2024Al Ahly SC — Modern Sport FC1:2
16.07.2024Modern Sport FC — Al Ahly SC1:2

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1	Pyramids FC	6	6	0	0	13–2	+11	18
2	Al Ahly SC	6	5	1	0	11–3	+8	16
3	Zamalek SC	6	4	1	1	8–3	+5	13
4	Modern Sport FC	6	4	1	1	10–6	+4	13
5	Al Ittihad Alexandria	6	4	1	1	8–4	+4	13

Season 2026/27

Full table

Egyptian Premier League on the same day

20:00
Pyramids FCWadi Degla FCpreliminary
642413
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →