French Ligue 2, round 13 · Saturday, 21 November, 16:00 (UTC+3)

Nantes — Grenoble

Model prediction for 21 November

Nantes61%

Draw25%

Grenoble14%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Nantes are clear favourites: 61% against 14% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 44%.

Why

By the strength ratings Nantes are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Nantes are 111 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

League table: Nantes — No. 15, 9 pts; Grenoble — No. 18, 8 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
Nantes: winless in 4; Grenoble: 4 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nantes — Grenoble What is xG?		1.6–0.7
Nantes not to lose		86%
Grenoble not to lose		39%
No draw		75%
Both teams to score: yes		44%
Both teams to score: no		56%
Total over 2.5		43%
Total under 2.5		57%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Nantes
Nantes goals
Grenoble goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Nantes	Grenoble
Goals scored per match	1.2	0.8
Goals conceded per match	1.7	1.6
xG per match	1.30	0.89
Opponents’ xG	0.92	1.43
Shots	13.9	9.5
On target	3.7	2.6
Corners	5.7	3.4
Cards	2.0	2.7
Possession, %	53	41

Averages per match: Nantes — the last 10, Grenoble — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Nantes

30.10Clermont Foot1:1
24.10away · Saint-Étienne0:1
17.10Dunkerque2:3
10.10Reims0:0
19.09away · Boulogne2:1

Grenoble

30.10Dijon1:3
23.10away · Pau1:2
16.10Boulogne0:2
09.10away · Montpellier0:2
18.09Clermont Foot1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
14	Boulogne	11	1	7	3	7–8	-1	10
15	Nantes	11	2	3	6	12–18	-6	9
16, Relegation play-off	Laval	11	2	3	6	14–21	-7	9
17, Relegation	Clermont Foot	11	0	8	3	10–15	-5	8
18, Relegation	Grenoble	11	2	2	7	10–20	-10	8

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

16:00
LavalMontpellierpreliminary
282844
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
22:00
ReimsSaint-Étiennepreliminary
242947
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →