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French Ligue 2, round 13 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Reims — Saint-Étienne

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Model prediction for 21 November

Reims24%
Draw29%
Saint-Étienne47%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Saint-Étienne are clear favourites: 47% against 24% for the opponent, draw 29%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Saint-Étienne are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
  • In recent matches the betting market rated Saint-Étienne higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.

Facts

  • League table: Reims — No. 4, 21 pts; Saint-Étienne — No. 1, 25 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Reims: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Reims 2 wins, Saint-Étienne 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Reims — Saint-Étienne What is xG?1.1–1.5
Reims not to lose53%
Saint-Étienne not to lose76%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.549%
Total under 2.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Reims
  • Reims goals
  • Saint-Étienne goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatReimsSaint-Étienne
Goals scored per match2.22.1
Goals conceded per match1.20.9
xG per match1.381.78
Opponents’ xG1.580.75
Shots11.614.7
On target5.15.6
Corners3.04.9
Cards1.91.6
Possession, %4756

Averages per match: Reims — the last 10, Saint-Étienne — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Reims

  • 02.11Sochaux2:0
  • 26.10away · Boulogne1:1
  • 16.10Dijon4:2
  • 10.10away · Nantes0:0
  • 18.09Montpellier1:1

Saint-Étienne

  • 31.10away · Guingamp0:3
  • 24.10Nantes1:0
  • 17.10away · Red Star1:0
  • 10.10Rodez2:0
  • 19.09away · Metz2:2

Head to head

  • 24.01.2026Reims — Saint-Étienne1:0
  • 20.09.2025Saint-Étienne — Reims3:2
  • 10.05.2025Reims — Saint-Étienne0:2
  • 04.01.2025Saint-Étienne — Reims3:1
  • 14.05.2022Saint-Étienne — Reims1:2

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, PromotionSaint-Étienne1181223–11+1225
2, PromotionMontpellier1173116–6+1024
3, Promotion play-offsNancy1171316–9+722
4, Promotion play-offsReims1156022–12+1021
5, Promotion play-offsPau1162316–11+520

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • LavalMontpellierpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
  • NantesGrenoblepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →