Danish Superliga, round 13 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Nordsjælland — FC Midtjylland
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nordsjælland are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 26%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nordsjælland are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nordsjælland — FC Midtjylland What is xG? | 1.8–1.4 | |
| Nordsjælland not to lose | 72% | |
| FC Midtjylland not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nordsjælland
- Nordsjælland goals
- FC Midtjylland goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10OB0:0
- 20.09away · Viborg1:4
- 13.09AGF2:0
- 07.09away · FC Midtjylland2:2
- 03.09away · FC København0:2
- 11.10FC København2:1
- 19.09away · OB1:1
- 14.09Brøndby IF4:1
- 07.09Nordsjælland2:2
- 02.09away · AGF2:0
Head to head
- 07.09.2026FC Midtjylland — Nordsjælland2:2
- 10.05.2026Nordsjælland — FC Midtjylland0:0
- 15.03.2026FC Midtjylland — Nordsjælland0:1
- 30.11.2025FC Midtjylland — Nordsjælland6:0
- 14.09.2025Nordsjælland — FC Midtjylland1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | FC København | 10 | 8 | +14 | 24 |
| 2, Championship round | FC Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | +9 | 22 |
| 3, Championship round | Viborg | 10 | 6 | +9 | 20 |
| 4, Championship round | Nordsjælland | 10 | 5 | +4 | 18 |
| 5, Championship round | Brøndby IF | 10 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
Danish Superliga on the same day
- OBSilkeborgpreliminary4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- ViborgAC Horsenspreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- Brøndby IFAGFpreliminary3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →