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Brazilian Serie B, round 33 · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Estádio Germano Krüger

Operário-PR — Goiás

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Operário-PR43%
Draw29%
Goiás28%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Operário-PR to win (43%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 43% fails in about 57 matches out of 100 on average.

Operário-PR are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 29%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Operário-PR are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Operário-PR — Goiás What is xG?1.3–1.0
Operário-PR not to lose72%
Goiás not to lose57%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.542%
Total under 2.558%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Operário-PR
  • Operário-PR goals
  • Goiás goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Operário-PR

  • 08.10Botafogo SP1:2
  • 03.10away · Juventude0:3
  • 26.09Ceará2:2
  • 23.09away · Criciúma2:0
  • 16.09away · Náutico3:3

Goiás

  • 07.10Athletic Club MG2:1
  • 02.10away · Novorizontino0:3
  • 27.09Atlético-GO0:1
  • 20.09Avaí2:1
  • 15.09away · Botafogo SP3:1

Head to head

  • 22.06.2026Goiás — Operário-PR0:3
  • 10.08.2025Goiás — Operário-PR2:1
  • 13.04.2025Operário-PR — Goiás1:2
  • 30.10.2024Goiás — Operário-PR3:0
  • 18.07.2024Operário-PR — Goiás2:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
8Sport Recife331312845–35+1051
9Operário-PR331391144–45-148
10Goiás331461334–40-648
11Cuiabá331114832–26+647

Season 2026

Full table

Next matches

  • América-MGOperário-PR18 October · Brasileirao Serie B
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
  • GoiásNáutico20 October · Brasileirao Serie B
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7

Brasileirao Serie B on the same day

  • CuiabáAvaí
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:0.1.9
  • FortalezaCRB
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →