Brazilian Serie B, round 37 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Operário-PR — Sport Recife
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In short
Operário-PR are slightly stronger: 40% against 32%, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Operário-PR — No. 11, 51 pts; Sport Recife — No. 6, 55 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 3 meetings: Operário-PR 2 wins, Sport Recife 0, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Operário-PR 5, Sport Recife 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Operário-PR — Sport Recife What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Operário-PR not to lose | 68% | |
| Sport Recife not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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- Handicap Operário-PR
- Operário-PR goals
- Sport Recife goals
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Operário-PR | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 0.94 | 1.30 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.57 | 1.25 |
| Shots | 12.7 | 15.0 |
| On target | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 4.6 |
| Cards | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 52 |
Form
- 02.11away · Novorizontino1:2
- 24.10Athletic Club MG1:0
- 18.10away · América-MG0:1
- 12.10Goiás0:2
- 08.10Botafogo SP1:2
- 31.10away · Botafogo SP1:1
- 24.10Criciúma2:1
- 17.10Fortaleza0:2
- 11.10away · Atlético-GO1:1
- 07.10São Bernardo2:1
Head to head
- 18.07.2026Sport Recife — Operário-PR2:2
- 05.11.2024Operário-PR — Sport Recife2:1
- 17.10.2024Sport Recife — Operário-PR1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Criciúma | 36 | 18 | +8 | 62 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Sport Recife | 36 | 14 | +9 | 55 |
| 7 | Atlético-GO | 36 | 14 | +9 | 55 |
| 10 | São Bernardo | 36 | 14 | +11 | 52 |
| 11 | Operário-PR | 36 | 14 | -2 | 51 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 36 | 13 | +2 | 48 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- 4329291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- 5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →