A-League Men (Australia), round 3 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Perth Glory — Adelaide United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Adelaide United are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Adelaide United are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Perth Glory — Adelaide United What is xG? | 1.4–1.7 | |
| Perth Glory not to lose | 56% | |
| Adelaide United not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Perth Glory
- Perth Glory goals
- Adelaide United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 25.04Brisbane Roar FC2:1
- 18.04away · Sydney FC0:0
- 12.04Macarthur FC3:1
- 04.04away · Central Coast Mariners2:2
- 22.03Melbourne City FC1:1
- 15.05Auckland FC0:3
- 09.05away · Auckland FC1:1
- 26.04away · Melbourne City FC2:1
- 19.04Macarthur FC3:1
- 11.04away · Newcastle Jets1:1
Head to head
- 20.02.2026Adelaide United — Perth Glory4:0
- 20.12.2025Perth Glory — Adelaide United0:1
- 12.04.2025Perth Glory — Adelaide United4:1
- 29.11.2024Adelaide United — Perth Glory2:2
- 07.04.2024Perth Glory — Adelaide United2:4
A-League on the same day
- Melbourne VictoryCentral Coast Marinerspreliminary6222171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →