Serie B, round 9 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Pisa — Palermo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pisa are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Pisa are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pisa — Palermo What is xG? | 1.7–1.4 | |
| Pisa not to lose | 72% | |
| Palermo not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Pisa
- Pisa goals
- Palermo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · LR Vicenza3:0
- 20.09away · Mantova2:2
- 15.09away · Fiorentina0:3
- 11.09Virtus Entella1:4
- 06.09away · Juve Stabia3:0
Head to head
- 31.01.2025Palermo — Pisa1:2
- 24.08.2024Pisa — Palermo2:0
- 01.04.2024Pisa — Palermo4:3
- 16.12.2023Palermo — Pisa3:2
- 04.03.2023Pisa — Palermo1:1
Table
Serie B on the same day
- CarrareseArezzopreliminary4729251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- Juve StabiaHellas Veronapreliminary4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →