UEFA Champions League, round 4 · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
PSV Eindhoven — Club Brugge
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
PSV Eindhoven are clear favourites: 48% against 27% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings PSV Eindhoven are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: PSV Eindhoven — No. 26, 1 pt; Club Brugge — No. 16, 3 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Club Brugge: 4 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: PSV Eindhoven — Club Brugge What is xG? | 1.7–1.2 | |
| PSV Eindhoven not to lose | 73% | |
| Club Brugge not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap PSV Eindhoven
- PSV Eindhoven goals
- Club Brugge goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 13.10away · RB Leipzig0:1
- 09.10SC Heerenveen2:0
- 20.09away · FC Twente2:3
- 13.09Sparta Rotterdam4:1
- 10.09Shakhtar Donetsk1:1
- 13.10away · Inter4:3
- 10.10away · RAAL La Louvière4:1
- 20.09Genk3:0
- 13.09Royal Antwerp3:1
- 08.09Aston Villa2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Atlético Madrid | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 16, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Club Brugge | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 17, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Manchester City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 25 | Roma | 2 | 0 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 0 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Viking | 2 | 0 | -2 | 1 |
Champions League on the same day
- FenerbahçeLiverpoolpreliminary3326412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- AEK AthensReal Madridpreliminary1923592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- Borussia DortmundReal Betispreliminary6321161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- FC PortoNapolipreliminary5224231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- RB LeipzigManchester Citypreliminary2425512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- Slavia PragueArsenalpreliminary916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.3
- LensComopreliminary3326412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- VikingSabah FKpreliminary7018121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →