Liga MX (Mexico), round 14 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Pumas — Tigres
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Pumas 33%, Tigres 37%, draw 30%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Tigres are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pumas — Tigres What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| Pumas not to lose | 63% | |
| Tigres not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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Form
- 12.10Cruz Azul3:3
- 27.09Atlético de San Luis2:3
- 20.09away · Atlas1:1
- 14.09away · Chivas0:3
- 11.09León3:1
Head to head
- 15.01.2026Tigres — Pumas0:1
- 21.09.2025Pumas — Tigres1:1
- 20.04.2025Tigres — Pumas2:1
- 02.09.2024Pumas — Tigres1:3
- 04.02.2024Tigres — Pumas2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pachuca | 11 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 | Pumas | 11 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Tigres | 11 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
Liga MX on the same day
- LeónTolucapreliminary2227502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- MonterreyChivaspreliminary3329382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →