Belgian Pro League, round 11 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
RAAL La Louvière — Cercle Brugge
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: RAAL La Louvière 34%, Cercle Brugge 37%, draw 29%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cercle Brugge are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: RAAL La Louvière — No. 16, 7 pts; Cercle Brugge — No. 17, 6 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 4 meetings: RAAL La Louvière 3 wins, Cercle Brugge 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: RAAL La Louvière — Cercle Brugge What is xG? | 1.4–1.5 | |
| RAAL La Louvière not to lose | 63% | |
| Cercle Brugge not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | RAAL La Louvière | Cercle Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| xG per match | 1.25 | 1.49 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.08 | 1.83 |
| Shots | 11.8 | 13.2 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 6.5 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Possession, % | 39 | 42 |
Form
- 01.11away · Sporting Charleroi2:5
- 24.10Zulte Waregem3:0
- 17.10FC Liège4:0
- 10.10Club Brugge1:4
- 19.09away · OH Leuven0:2
- 01.11Royal Antwerp2:1
- 25.10away · Union St.Gilloise2:5
- 16.10away · Sporting Hasselt2:1
- 10.10Anderlecht1:2
- 19.09away · Sporting Charleroi2:3
Head to head
- 09.05.2026RAAL La Louvière — Cercle Brugge4:1
- 11.04.2026Cercle Brugge — RAAL La Louvière3:0
- 15.03.2026Cercle Brugge — RAAL La Louvière1:3
- 02.11.2025RAAL La Louvière — Cercle Brugge2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | St.Truiden | 10 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2 | -10 | 7 |
| 17, Relegation | Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1 | -9 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | Kortrijk | 9 | 1 | -16 | 4 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- 2827442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- 4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →