Belgian Pro League, round 11 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Royal Antwerp — Lommel
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Royal Antwerp are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Royal Antwerp are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- In recent matches the betting market rated Royal Antwerp higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.
Facts
- League table: Royal Antwerp — No. 11, 10 pts; Lommel — No. 7, 15 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Royal Antwerp — Lommel What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Royal Antwerp not to lose | 80% | |
| Lommel not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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- Handicap Royal Antwerp
- Royal Antwerp goals
- Lommel goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Royal Antwerp | Lommel |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| xG per match | 1.45 | 1.05 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.23 | 1.80 |
| Shots | 14.1 | 11.9 |
| On target | 4.9 | 3.5 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 3.8 |
| Cards | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Possession, % | 49 | 47 |
Form
- 01.11away · Cercle Brugge1:2
- 24.10Sporting Charleroi3:0
- 17.10away · KSK Heist1:0
- 11.10away · Westerlo1:5
- 20.09Union St.Gilloise0:2
- 01.11Gent2:0
- 24.10away · OH Leuven2:2
- 18.10away · St.Truiden1:4
- 09.10away · SK Beveren3:1
- 19.09KV Mechelen0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Genk | 10 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 | Lommel | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Westerlo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Royal Antwerp | 10 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 10 | 3 | -7 | 10 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- 2827442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- 4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →