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La Liga, round 13 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Racing Santander — Real Sociedad

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Model prediction for 22 November

Racing Santander28%
Draw27%
Real Sociedad46%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Real Sociedad are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 27%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.

Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 67%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • In recent matches the betting market rated Real Sociedad higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.

Facts

  • League table: Racing Santander — No. 16, 11 pts; Real Sociedad — No. 5, 19 pts. A gap of 8 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Racing Santander — Real Sociedad What is xG?1.5–1.9
Racing Santander not to lose54%
Real Sociedad not to lose72%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes67%
Both teams to score: no33%
Total over 2.563%
Total under 2.537%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Racing Santander
  • Racing Santander goals
  • Real Sociedad goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatRacing SantanderReal Sociedad
Goals scored per match1.52.5
Goals conceded per match2.61.7
xG per match1.471.55
Opponents’ xG2.271.72
Shots14.014.3
On target5.15.0
Corners5.25.8
Cards2.62.0
Possession, %5354

Averages per match: Racing Santander — the last 10, Real Sociedad — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Racing Santander

  • 01.11Real Madrid0:3
  • 29.10away · Ribadesella CF2:0
  • 24.10Espanyol2:1
  • 18.10away · Osasuna0:2
  • 11.10Valencia2:2

Real Sociedad

  • 01.11away · Athletic Club1:2
  • 25.10Levante2:1
  • 22.10away · Lillestrøm6:0
  • 18.10away · Málaga5:2
  • 15.10away · Union St.Gilloise1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4, Champions LeagueReal Betis1172218–15+323
5, Europa League or Conference LeagueReal Sociedad1161420–20019
6, Europa League or Conference LeagueSevilla1152417–19-217
15Osasuna1132611–22-1111
16Racing Santander1132615–29-1411
17Elche1124514–18-410

Season 2026/27

Full table

La Liga on the same day

  • BarcelonaVillarrealpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.8
  • OsasunaMálagapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
  • GetafeAtlético Madridpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →