La Liga, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Rayo Vallecano — Elche
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rayo Vallecano are clear favourites: 57% against 17% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rayo Vallecano are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rayo Vallecano — Elche What is xG? | 1.8–0.9 | |
| Rayo Vallecano not to lose | 83% | |
| Elche not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Rayo Vallecano
- Rayo Vallecano goals
- Elche goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 19.09away · Osasuna1:1
- 15.09Espanyol2:1
- 12.09away · Real Madrid1:4
- 05.09Racing Santander3:2
- 31.08away · Barcelona2:5
- 11.10Celta Vigo0:0
- 18.09away · Espanyol3:1
- 15.09Real Madrid2:3
- 12.09away · Athletic Club1:1
- 07.09Real Sociedad2:3
Head to head
- 03.04.2026Rayo Vallecano — Elche1:0
- 21.12.2025Elche — Rayo Vallecano4:0
- 29.04.2023Elche — Rayo Vallecano4:0
- 03.10.2022Rayo Vallecano — Elche2:1
- 18.02.2022Elche — Rayo Vallecano2:1
Table
La Liga on the same day
- Racing SantanderEspanyolpreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
- ValenciaVillarrealpreliminary3229392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- Atlético MadridDeportivo A Coruñapreliminary751781The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →