Bundesliga, round 5 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt
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6:0Came true
In short
Final score 6:0: the model's most likely outcome, RB Leipzig to win (55%), came true.
RB Leipzig are clear favourites: 55% against 20% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings RB Leipzig are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt What is xG? | 2.1–1.3 | |
| RB Leipzig not to lose | 80% | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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Form
- 20.09away · Bayer Leverkusen0:2
- 13.09Hamburger SV5:0
- 10.09away · Como1:4
- 05.09away · Werder Bremen1:3
- 29.08Borussia Mönchengladbach3:0
- 19.09Freiburg2:2
- 12.09away · Mainz 053:1
- 06.09Augsburg1:4
- 29.08away · Union Berlin3:3
- 21.08away · SC St. Tönis11:0
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Eintracht Frankfurt — RB Leipzig1:3
- 06.12.2025RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt6:0
- 26.04.2025Eintracht Frankfurt — RB Leipzig4:0
- 15.12.2024RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt2:1
- 04.12.2024RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Champions League | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | +6 | 10 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | +10 | 9 |
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Augsburg | 5 | 2 | +5 | 8 |
| 13 | Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 5 | 1 | -4 | 4 |
Next matches
- RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven13 October · Champions League3927351The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
- Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln16 October · Bundesliga5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
Bundesliga on the same day
- 615802The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:2.3.9
- 6222151The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:0.3.4
- 2828442The most likely outcome came true: 23:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 0:1.3.3
- 1626572The most likely outcome came true: 20:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
- 3227412The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:2.3.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →