Renaissance Club Zemamra — FUS Rabat
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In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (32%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 32% fails in about 68 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Renaissance Club Zemamra 32%, FUS Rabat 36%, draw 32%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Renaissance Club Zemamra's starting XI is weaker than usual (heavy rotation).
Facts
- Renaissance Club Zemamra: winless in 5; FUS Rabat: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Renaissance Club Zemamra 2 wins, FUS Rabat 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Renaissance Club Zemamra — FUS Rabat What is xG? | 1.1–1.2 | |
| Renaissance Club Zemamra not to lose | 64% | |
| FUS Rabat not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Renaissance Club Zemamra
- Renaissance Club Zemamra goals
- FUS Rabat goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Match events
- 63′Amine Souane · FUS Rabat0:1
- 73′Fernando Chamboco · FUS Rabat
- 73′Hilal Ferdaoussi · FUS Rabat
- 77′Ismail Moutaraji · FUS Rabat
- 77′Amine Souane · FUS Rabat
- 85′Abdelaziz El Hamzaoui · Renaissance Club Zemamra
- 93′Ayoub Lakred · FUS Rabat
Substitutions (8)
- 46′Hassane Adamou ↔ Oussama El Attar · Renaissance Club Zemamra
- 60′Ismail Moutaraji ↔ Issam Naji · FUS Rabat
- 60′Amine Farhane ↔ Montasser Lahtimi · FUS Rabat
- 63′Abdelaziz El Hamzaoui ↔ Zakaria Ajoughlal · Renaissance Club Zemamra
- 63′Ousmane Diallo ↔ Jawad Essaghir · Renaissance Club Zemamra
- 73′Anass El Ghannouj ↔ Abdellatif El Bajjani · Renaissance Club Zemamra
- 78′Hamza Bouhaddi ↔ Mohamed Bakhkhach · FUS Rabat
- 81′Amine El Moutaouakil ↔ Oussama Dahr · Renaissance Club Zemamra
Match statistics
- 47Possession, %53
- 3Shots4
- 2On target1
- 1Corners2
- 1Yellow cards5
- 0Red cards0
Lineups
Renaissance Club Zemamra
- GKMohamed Ferni
- DFMohamed Abdouramane
- DFJames Ajako
- DFIsmail Soubai
- DFOussama El Attar46′
- MFAbdellatif El Bajjani73′
- FWMohamed Kamal
- FWYouness Moukhlis
- FWJawad Essaghir63′
- FWZakaria Ajoughlal63′
- FWOussama Dahr81′
Came on (5)
- DFOusmane Diallo27′
- MFAmine El Moutaouakil9′
- MFAnass El Ghannouj17′
- FWAbdelaziz El Hamzaoui27′
- MFHassane Adamou44′
FUS Rabat
- GKAyoub Lakred
- DFFaraji Karmoune
- DFAmine El Msane
- DFFernando Chamboco
- MFAnderson Cruz
- MFAbdessamad Mahir
- MFAnas Serrhat
- MFIssam Naji60′
- FWMontasser Lahtimi60′
- FWMohamed Bakhkhach78′
- FWAmine Souane
Came on (3)
- DFAmine Farhane30′
- MFIsmail Moutaraji30′
- DFHamza Bouhaddi12′
Form
- 13.10away · RS Berkane2:2
- 08.10Hassania Agadir2:5
- 03.10away · Raja Casablanca0:1
- 27.09away · MAS Fès1:2
- 05.07away · FAR Rabat0:0
- 13.10Raja Casablanca1:1
- 09.10away · MAT Tetouan0:0
- 02.10US Amal Tiznit0:1
- 26.09away · Union Touarga Sport1:2
- 05.07Union Yacoub El-Mansour0:1
Head to head
- 02.07.2026Renaissance Club Zemamra — FUS Rabat1:1
- 02.03.2026FUS Rabat — Renaissance Club Zemamra3:2
- 28.02.2025FUS Rabat — Renaissance Club Zemamra3:0
- 27.10.2024Renaissance Club Zemamra — FUS Rabat3:1
- 28.04.2024FUS Rabat — Renaissance Club Zemamra0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | MAS Fès | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | FUS Rabat | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Union Touarga Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 15, Relegation | MAT Tetouan | 6 | 0 | -7 | 3 |
| 16, Relegation | Renaissance Club Zemamra | 6 | 0 | -7 | 1 |
Next matches
- FUS RabatHassania Agadir31 October · Botola Pro4430261The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- Ittihad TangerRenaissance Club Zemamra1 November · Botola Pro4331261The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.3
Botola Pro on the same day
- 4530241The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →