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Botola Pro (Morocco), round 5 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3) · Ahmed Choukri Stadium

Renaissance Club Zemamra — FUS Rabat

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Model prediction and result

0:1Missed
Renaissance Club Zemamra32%
Draw32%
FUS Rabat36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (32%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 32% fails in about 68 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Renaissance Club Zemamra 32%, FUS Rabat 36%, draw 32%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Renaissance Club Zemamra's starting XI is weaker than usual (heavy rotation).

Facts

  • Renaissance Club Zemamra: winless in 5; FUS Rabat: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Renaissance Club Zemamra 2 wins, FUS Rabat 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Renaissance Club Zemamra — FUS Rabat What is xG?1.1–1.2
Renaissance Club Zemamra not to lose64%
FUS Rabat not to lose68%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.540%
Total under 2.560%

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  • Handicap Renaissance Club Zemamra
  • Renaissance Club Zemamra goals
  • FUS Rabat goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Match events

  1. 63′Amine Souane · FUS Rabat0:1
  2. 73′Fernando Chamboco · FUS Rabat
  3. 73′Hilal Ferdaoussi · FUS Rabat
  4. 77′Ismail Moutaraji · FUS Rabat
  5. 77′Amine Souane · FUS Rabat
  6. 85′Abdelaziz El Hamzaoui · Renaissance Club Zemamra
  7. 93′Ayoub Lakred · FUS Rabat
Substitutions (8)
  1. 46′Hassane Adamou ↔ Oussama El Attar · Renaissance Club Zemamra
  2. 60′Ismail Moutaraji ↔ Issam Naji · FUS Rabat
  3. 60′Amine Farhane ↔ Montasser Lahtimi · FUS Rabat
  4. 63′Abdelaziz El Hamzaoui ↔ Zakaria Ajoughlal · Renaissance Club Zemamra
  5. 63′Ousmane Diallo ↔ Jawad Essaghir · Renaissance Club Zemamra
  6. 73′Anass El Ghannouj ↔ Abdellatif El Bajjani · Renaissance Club Zemamra
  7. 78′Hamza Bouhaddi ↔ Mohamed Bakhkhach · FUS Rabat
  8. 81′Amine El Moutaouakil ↔ Oussama Dahr · Renaissance Club Zemamra

Match statistics

Renaissance Club ZemamraFUS Rabat
  • 47Possession, %53
  • 3Shots4
  • 2On target1
  • 1Corners2
  • 1Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Renaissance Club Zemamra

  1. GKMohamed Ferni
  2. DFMohamed Abdouramane
  3. DFJames Ajako
  4. DFIsmail Soubai
  5. DFOussama El Attar46′
  6. MFAbdellatif El Bajjani73′
  7. FWMohamed Kamal
  8. FWYouness Moukhlis
  9. FWJawad Essaghir63′
  10. FWZakaria Ajoughlal63′
  11. FWOussama Dahr81′
Came on (5)
  1. DFOusmane Diallo27′
  2. MFAmine El Moutaouakil9′
  3. MFAnass El Ghannouj17′
  4. FWAbdelaziz El Hamzaoui27′
  5. MFHassane Adamou44′

FUS Rabat

  1. GKAyoub Lakred
  2. DFFaraji Karmoune
  3. DFAmine El Msane
  4. DFFernando Chamboco
  5. MFAnderson Cruz
  6. MFAbdessamad Mahir
  7. MFAnas Serrhat
  8. MFIssam Naji60′
  9. FWMontasser Lahtimi60′
  10. FWMohamed Bakhkhach78′
  11. FWAmine Souane
Came on (3)
  1. DFAmine Farhane30′
  2. MFIsmail Moutaraji30′
  3. DFHamza Bouhaddi12′

Form

Renaissance Club Zemamra

  • 13.10away · RS Berkane2:2
  • 08.10Hassania Agadir2:5
  • 03.10away · Raja Casablanca0:1
  • 27.09away · MAS Fès1:2
  • 05.07away · FAR Rabat0:0

FUS Rabat

  • 13.10Raja Casablanca1:1
  • 09.10away · MAT Tetouan0:0
  • 02.10US Amal Tiznit0:1
  • 26.09away · Union Touarga Sport1:2
  • 05.07Union Yacoub El-Mansour0:1

Head to head

  • 02.07.2026Renaissance Club Zemamra — FUS Rabat1:1
  • 02.03.2026FUS Rabat — Renaissance Club Zemamra3:2
  • 28.02.2025FUS Rabat — Renaissance Club Zemamra3:0
  • 27.10.2024Renaissance Club Zemamra — FUS Rabat3:1
  • 28.04.2024FUS Rabat — Renaissance Club Zemamra0:2

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
9MAS Fès62225–508
10FUS Rabat62224–408
11Union Touarga Sport62224–408
15, RelegationMAT Tetouan60332–9-73
16, RelegationRenaissance Club Zemamra60155–12-71

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • FUS RabatHassania Agadir31 October · Botola Pro
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.3

Botola Pro on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →