Turkish Super Lig, round 9 · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Rizespor — Trabzonspor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Rizespor 39%, Trabzonspor 34%, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rizespor are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rizespor — Trabzonspor What is xG? | 1.6–1.5 | |
| Rizespor not to lose | 66% | |
| Trabzonspor not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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- Handicap Rizespor
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- Trabzonspor goals
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Form
- 10.10Fenerbahçe0:3
- 20.09away · Göztepe2:2
- 12.09away · Eyüpspor2:0
- 07.09Alanyaspor0:1
- 29.08away · Gaziantep FK2:1
- 10.10away · Samsunspor3:0
- 19.09Galatasaray4:0
- 12.09away · Konyaspor0:1
- 06.09Gençlerbirliği5:0
- 31.08away · Amed Sportif1:2
Head to head
- 14.03.2026Trabzonspor — Rizespor1:0
- 18.10.2025Rizespor — Trabzonspor1:2
- 13.04.2025Trabzonspor — Rizespor2:0
- 26.02.2025Trabzonspor — Rizespor5:2
- 09.11.2024Rizespor — Trabzonspor3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | +13 | 13 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 | Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 7 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
Super Lig on the same day
- BeşiktaşBaşakşehirpreliminary6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.3
- GalatasarayFenerbahçepreliminary5025251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →