Copa del Rey · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
RSD Alcalá — Las Palmas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Las Palmas are clear favourites: 70% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Las Palmas are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: RSD Alcalá — Las Palmas What is xG? | 0.8–2.3 | |
| RSD Alcalá not to lose | 30% | |
| Las Palmas not to lose | 89% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap RSD Alcalá
- RSD Alcalá goals
- Las Palmas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Mallorca1:3
- 04.10Real Valladolid2:2
- 27.09away · Eibar2:3
- 20.09Burgos CF1:2
- 12.09away · Cádiz1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- CD CuarteGironapreliminary613812The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.5
- CF CalamochaCE Europapreliminary3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Atletico PinatarenseElchepreliminary714792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.4
- SestaoEspanyolpreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- CE ManresaSant Andreupreliminary3026432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- CastellonenseAlmeríapreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- CD Atlético PasoCórdobapreliminary1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- Atlético TordesillasCD Mirandéspreliminary2024572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →