South African Premiership · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Siwelele — Polokwane City

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Model prediction for 18 October

Siwelele38%
Draw34%
Polokwane City28%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Siwelele are slightly stronger: 38% against 28%, draw 34%.

1.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 28%, both teams to score — 38%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Siwelele — Polokwane City What is xG?1.0–0.8
Siwelele not to lose72%
Polokwane City not to lose62%
No draw66%
Both teams to score: yes38%
Both teams to score: no62%
Total over 2.528%
Total under 2.572%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Siwelele
  • Siwelele goals
  • Polokwane City goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Siwelele

  • 13.09Lamontville Golden Arrows1:1
  • 09.09away · Mamelodi Sundowns FC0:3
  • 06.09away · Kaizer Chiefs2:3
  • 25.08Chippa United1:1
  • 15.08away · AmaZulu FC0:2

Polokwane City

  • 19.09AmaZulu FC0:1
  • 12.09Kaizer Chiefs1:1
  • 04.09away · Marumo Gallants2:2
  • 26.08Milford FC0:0
  • 15.08away · Sekhukhune United0:2

Head to head

  • 14.02.2026Polokwane City — Siwelele0:0
  • 19.08.2025Siwelele — Polokwane City0:1
  • 26.04.2025Polokwane City — Siwelele1:1
  • 17.01.2025Siwelele — Polokwane City0:1
  • 17.04.2024Siwelele — Polokwane City1:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
9Chippa United71514–6-28
10Polokwane City71428–10-27
11Durban City81435–7-27
13Kruger United71153–12-94
14Siwelele70346–13-73
15, Relegation play-offRichards Bay803510–20-103

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →