Belgian Pro League, round 12 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
SK Beveren — Gent
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gent are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gent are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
- Gent are 148 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: SK Beveren — No. 12, 10 pts; Gent — No. 3, 25 pts. A gap of 15 pts.
- Last 3 meetings: SK Beveren 0 wins, Gent 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SK Beveren — Gent What is xG? | 1.1–1.5 | |
| SK Beveren not to lose | 57% | |
| Gent not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap SK Beveren
- SK Beveren goals
- Gent goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | SK Beveren | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| xG per match | 1.08 | 1.35 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.87 | 0.98 |
| Shots | 11.1 | 13.1 |
| On target | 3.7 | 4.6 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 5.0 |
| Cards | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 44 |
Form
- 31.10Union St.Gilloise1:2
- 24.10away · Westerlo4:4
- 16.10Habay La Neuve3:0
- 09.10Lommel1:3
- 20.09away · Kortrijk0:1
- 01.11away · Lommel0:2
- 25.10Anderlecht4:0
- 22.10away · Braga0:2
- 18.10away · Union Rochefortoise3:3
- 15.10AGF1:0
Head to head
- 16.12.2020Gent — SK Beveren3:0
- 01.11.2020SK Beveren — Gent1:4
- 19.10.2019Gent — SK Beveren2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Union St.Gilloise | 10 | 8 | +22 | 26 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Gent | 10 | 8 | +13 | 25 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Sporting Charleroi | 10 | 8 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 | Royal Antwerp | 10 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 10 | 3 | -7 | 10 |
| 13 | OH Leuven | 10 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- KortrijkUnion St.Gilloisepreliminary1222662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
- AnderlechtOH Leuvenpreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.9
- LommelStandard Liègepreliminary3229392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →