Belgian Pro League, round 8 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Freethielstadion
SK Beveren — Lommel
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:3: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (31%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 31% fails in about 69 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: SK Beveren 31%, Lommel 38%, draw 31%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Lommel are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SK Beveren — Lommel What is xG? | 1.2–1.2 | |
| SK Beveren not to lose | 62% | |
| Lommel not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap SK Beveren
- SK Beveren goals
- Lommel goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 20.09away · Kortrijk0:1
- 12.09St.Truiden2:0
- 06.09OH Leuven3:0
- 28.08away · Genk0:4
- 22.08away · Zulte Waregem0:4
- 19.09KV Mechelen0:0
- 12.09away · Union St.Gilloise0:5
- 04.09Club Brugge0:1
- 29.08away · Cercle Brugge1:0
- 23.08Westerlo4:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Standard Liège | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Lommel | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | St.Truiden | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
Next matches
- SK BeverenHabay La Neuve16 October · Belgian Cup5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- St.TruidenLommel18 October · Belgian Cup4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →