Danish Superliga, round 13 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Sønderjyske — FC København
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC København are clear favourites: 61% against 15% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC København are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Sønderjyske — No. 12, 5 pts; FC København — No. 1, 24 pts. A gap of 19 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Sønderjyske 1 win, FC København 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sønderjyske — FC København What is xG? | 1.1–2.1 | |
| Sønderjyske not to lose | 39% | |
| FC København not to lose | 85% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sønderjyske
- Sønderjyske goals
- FC København goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · AGF0:3
- 20.09Randers FC4:2
- 13.09away · Lyngby1:1
- 06.09AC Horsens2:5
- 31.08away · FC København1:3
- 11.10away · FC Midtjylland1:2
- 20.09away · Brøndby IF1:0
- 11.09AC Horsens2:0
- 06.09away · OB5:0
- 03.09Nordsjælland2:0
Head to head
- 31.08.2026FC København — Sønderjyske3:1
- 07.12.2025FC København — Sønderjyske0:2
- 27.09.2025Sønderjyske — FC København1:2
- 09.03.2025FC København — Sønderjyske1:1
- 11.08.2024Sønderjyske — FC København0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | FC København | 10 | 8 | +14 | 24 |
| 2, Championship round | FC Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | +9 | 22 |
| 11, Relegation round | Lyngby | 10 | 1 | -9 | 7 |
| 12, Relegation round | Sønderjyske | 10 | 1 | -12 | 5 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →