Copa del Rey · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Sporting de Alcazar — Málaga
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Málaga are clear favourites: 75% against 9% for the opponent, draw 16%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Málaga are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting de Alcazar — Málaga What is xG? | 0.8–2.5 | |
| Sporting de Alcazar not to lose | 25% | |
| Málaga not to lose | 91% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sporting de Alcazar
- Sporting de Alcazar goals
- Málaga goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 09.10Espanyol1:1
- 20.09away · Getafe0:1
- 17.09Villarreal1:3
- 13.09away · Celta Vigo1:1
- 06.09Levante0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- CD CuarteGironapreliminary613812The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.5
- CF CalamochaCE Europapreliminary3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Atletico PinatarenseElchepreliminary714792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.4
- SestaoEspanyolpreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- CE ManresaSant Andreupreliminary3026432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- CastellonenseAlmeríapreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- CD Atlético PasoCórdobapreliminary1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- Atlético TordesillasCD Mirandéspreliminary2024572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →