UEFA Conference League, round 1 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium
St.Truiden — Iberia 1999
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
St.Truiden are clear favourites: 57% against 20% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings St.Truiden are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St.Truiden — Iberia 1999 What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| St.Truiden not to lose | 80% | |
| Iberia 1999 not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap St.Truiden
- St.Truiden goals
- Iberia 1999 goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · KV Mechelen3:4
- 20.09Westerlo0:2
- 12.09away · SK Beveren0:2
- 05.09RAAL La Louvière4:0
- 02.09Union St.Gilloise0:3
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- 5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 7218111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.2
- 5624201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →