Serie A, round 6 · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino — Udinese
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2:1Missed
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (31%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 31% fails in about 69 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Torino 37%, Udinese 32%, draw 31%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Torino are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Torino — Udinese What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Torino not to lose | 68% | |
| Udinese not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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- Udinese goals
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Form
- 19.09away · Bologna1:1
- 14.09Roma0:2
- 05.09away · Fiorentina2:1
- 01.09Monza0:1
- 29.08away · Sassuolo1:2
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Udinese — Torino2:0
- 07.01.2026Torino — Udinese1:2
- 23.04.2025Torino — Udinese2:0
- 29.12.2024Udinese — Torino2:2
- 16.03.2024Udinese — Torino0:2
Table
Next matches
- UdineseLecce18 October · Serie A5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- ParmaTorino19 October · Serie A293338XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
Serie A on the same day
- 741881The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 3:1, exactly right.3.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →