Argentine Liga Profesional · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Unión — Estudiantes

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Model prediction for 27 October

Unión41%
Draw29%
Estudiantes30%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Unión are slightly stronger: 41% against 30%, draw 29%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Unión — Estudiantes What is xG?1.3–1.1
Unión not to lose70%
Estudiantes not to lose59%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.542%
Total under 2.558%

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Form

Unión

  • 10.10Defensa y Justicia0:2
  • 03.10away · Boca Juniors0:3
  • 19.09Independiente1:2
  • 13.09away · Talleres1:2
  • 08.09Instituto3:2

Estudiantes

  • 10.10away · Central Córdoba de Santiago2:2
  • 06.10Gimnasia Mendoza3:0
  • 02.10away · Club Atlético Platense0:1
  • 22.09away · Lanús1:2
  • 17.09away · Corinthians1:0

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026Estudiantes — Unión2:1
  • 15.07.2025Unión — Estudiantes1:0
  • 26.01.2025Estudiantes — Unión3:1
  • 21.07.2024Estudiantes — Unión0:0
  • 04.03.2023Unión — Estudiantes2:0

Full record: 8 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →