Peruvian Liga 1 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Universitario de Deportes — Sport Boys
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Universitario de Deportes are clear favourites: 71% against 10% for the opponent, draw 19%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Universitario de Deportes are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
- Universitario de Deportes are 215 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Universitario de Deportes 4 wins, Sport Boys 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Universitario de Deportes — Sport Boys What is xG? | 1.9–0.7 | |
| Universitario de Deportes not to lose | 90% | |
| Sport Boys not to lose | 29% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Universitario de Deportes
- Universitario de Deportes goals
- Sport Boys goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10FBC Melgar2:2
- 20.09away · Deportivo Garcilaso0:4
- 13.09away · Alianza Lima2:1
- 06.09Comerciantes Unidos2:2
- 29.08away · CD UT Cajamarca4:2
- 11.10Alianza Atlético1:3
- 20.09away · FBC Melgar1:1
- 13.09Deportivo Garcilaso1:0
- 05.09away · Sport Huancayo1:2
- 30.08Sporting Cristal1:0
Head to head
- 12.05.2026Sport Boys — Universitario de Deportes0:0
- 10.08.2025Universitario de Deportes — Sport Boys1:0
- 09.03.2025Sport Boys — Universitario de Deportes0:2
- 19.09.2024Universitario de Deportes — Sport Boys3:0
- 14.04.2024Sport Boys — Universitario de Deportes1:2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →