Argentine Liga Profesional · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK · Estadio José Amalfitani
Vélez Sarsfield — Club Atlético Platense
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In short
Final score 2:2: the model's most likely outcome, Vélez Sarsfield to win (53%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.
Vélez Sarsfield are clear favourites: 53% against 18% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vélez Sarsfield are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vélez Sarsfield — Club Atlético Platense What is xG? | 1.3–0.7 | |
| Vélez Sarsfield not to lose | 82% | |
| Club Atlético Platense not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Vélez Sarsfield
- Vélez Sarsfield goals
- Club Atlético Platense goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 21.09Tigre3:2
- 11.09away · Newell's Old Boys1:1
- 06.09Estudiantes1:0
- 03.09Boca Juniors0:0
- 29.08away · Deportivo Riestra1:1
- 02.10Estudiantes1:0
- 20.09Newell's Old Boys0:1
- 16.09Fluminense2:1
- 12.09away · Estudiantes1:2
- 09.09away · Fluminense0:2
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Club Atlético Platense — Vélez Sarsfield0:2
- 20.07.2025Club Atlético Platense — Vélez Sarsfield0:0
- 29.01.2025Vélez Sarsfield — Club Atlético Platense0:1
- 26.07.2024Club Atlético Platense — Vélez Sarsfield0:2
- 14.03.2023Vélez Sarsfield — Club Atlético Platense1:1
Next matches
- Club Atlético PlatenseArgentinos Juniors11 October · Liga Profesional343135XThe most likely outcome came true: X1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:1, exactly right.1.9
- LanúsVélez Sarsfield12 October · Liga Profesional5128211The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.2
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 5227211The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.3
- 2829432The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →