Ukrainian Premier League, round 10 · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Veres Rivne — FC Kolos Kovalivka

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Model prediction for 23 October

Veres Rivne29%
Draw33%
FC Kolos Kovalivka37%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

FC Kolos Kovalivka are slightly stronger: 37% against 29%, draw 33%.

The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 28%, both teams to score — 38%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FC Kolos Kovalivka are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Veres Rivne — FC Kolos Kovalivka What is xG?0.8–1.0
Veres Rivne not to lose63%
FC Kolos Kovalivka not to lose71%
No draw67%
Both teams to score: yes38%
Both teams to score: no62%
Total over 2.528%
Total under 2.572%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Veres Rivne
  • Veres Rivne goals
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  • Corners and cards
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Form

Veres Rivne

  • 09.10Shakhtar Donetsk0:3
  • 03.10Kudrivka2:1
  • 20.09away · Karpaty1:1
  • 06.09Zorya1:1
  • 30.08away · LNZ Cherkasy1:0

FC Kolos Kovalivka

  • 10.10Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi3:1
  • 20.09away · Kudrivka3:2
  • 11.09Karpaty0:2
  • 05.09away · Kryvbas2:2
  • 28.08Obolon Kyiv0:0

Head to head

  • 22.03.2026Veres Rivne — FC Kolos Kovalivka0:1
  • 20.09.2025FC Kolos Kovalivka — Veres Rivne0:0
  • 02.03.2025Veres Rivne — FC Kolos Kovalivka2:1
  • 26.08.2024FC Kolos Kovalivka — Veres Rivne0:1
  • 25.02.2024Veres Rivne — FC Kolos Kovalivka0:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7LNZ Cherkasy83237–9-211
8Veres Rivne82336–9-39
9FC Kolos Kovalivka72239–11-28
10Bukovyna Chernivtsi81526–8-28

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ukrainian Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →