Ukrainian Premier League, round 8 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Stadion Avanhard, Rivne
Veres Rivne — Shakhtar Donetsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:3Came true
In short
Final score 0:3: the model's most likely outcome, Shakhtar Donetsk to win (71%), came true.
Shakhtar Donetsk are clear favourites: 71% against 9% for the opponent, draw 20%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 42%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Shakhtar Donetsk are about 1.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Veres Rivne: unbeaten in 5; Shakhtar Donetsk: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Veres Rivne 0 wins, Shakhtar Donetsk 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Veres Rivne — Shakhtar Donetsk What is xG? | 0.6–2.0 | |
| Veres Rivne not to lose | 29% | |
| Shakhtar Donetsk not to lose | 91% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Veres Rivne
- Veres Rivne goals
- Shakhtar Donetsk goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 03.10Kudrivka2:1
- 20.09away · Karpaty1:1
- 06.09Zorya1:1
- 30.08away · LNZ Cherkasy1:0
- 14.08away · Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0:0
- 20.09LNZ Cherkasy3:0
- 14.09Chornomorets Odesa2:0
- 10.09away · PSV Eindhoven1:1
- 05.09away · Karpaty2:1
- 29.08Polissya Zhytomyr0:2
Head to head
- 27.02.2026Shakhtar Donetsk — Veres Rivne1:0
- 17.08.2025Veres Rivne — Shakhtar Donetsk0:2
- 06.04.2025Shakhtar Donetsk — Veres Rivne3:0
- 27.09.2024Veres Rivne — Shakhtar Donetsk1:1
- 08.12.2023Shakhtar Donetsk — Veres Rivne2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Shakhtar Donetsk | 8 | 7 | +14 | 21 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Polissya Zhytomyr | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Veres Rivne | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Kolos Kovalivka | 7 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
Next matches
- Shakhtar DonetskAEK Athens14 October · Champions League5324231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Obolon KyivVeres Rivne16 October · Ukrainian Premier League293239XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →