Bundesliga, round 7 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Mönchengladbach
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
VfB Stuttgart are clear favourites: 66% against 13% for the opponent, draw 21%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 72%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings VfB Stuttgart are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Mönchengladbach What is xG? | 2.5–1.2 | |
| VfB Stuttgart not to lose | 87% | |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach not to lose | 34% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 72% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 28% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap VfB Stuttgart
- VfB Stuttgart goals
- Borussia Mönchengladbach goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10away · Paderborn2:0
- 19.09Borussia Dortmund0:1
- 12.09away · Hoffenheim1:2
- 09.09Viking3:1
- 04.091. FC Köln4:1
- 11.10away · 1. FC Köln1:2
- 19.09Mainz 053:4
- 12.09away · Freiburg0:5
- 05.09Elversberg3:4
- 29.08away · RB Leipzig0:3
Head to head
- 25.01.2026Borussia Mönchengladbach — VfB Stuttgart0:3
- 30.08.2025VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Mönchengladbach1:0
- 01.02.2025VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Mönchengladbach1:2
- 14.09.2024Borussia Mönchengladbach — VfB Stuttgart1:3
- 18.05.2024VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Mönchengladbach4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | -10 | 6 |
| 17, Relegation | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | -11 | 0 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →