2. Bundesliga, round 9 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
VfL Osnabrück — Greuther Fürth
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
VfL Osnabrück are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 27%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: VfL Osnabrück — No. 10, 8 pts; Greuther Fürth — No. 15, 6 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Greuther Fürth: winless in 4.
- Last 2 meetings: VfL Osnabrück 1 win, Greuther Fürth 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: VfL Osnabrück — Greuther Fürth What is xG? | 1.8–1.5 | |
| VfL Osnabrück not to lose | 71% | |
| Greuther Fürth not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap VfL Osnabrück
- VfL Osnabrück goals
- Greuther Fürth goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Dynamo Dresden1:1
- 19.09away · Holstein Kiel1:1
- 13.09Hertha BSC1:3
- 06.09Eintracht Braunschweig3:1
- 02.09Bayern München1:4
- 11.10away · Hertha BSC1:2
- 18.09Magdeburg1:1
- 12.09away · Bochum1:1
- 06.09FC Heidenheim0:1
- 29.08away · Energie Cottbus4:3
Head to head
- 07.04.2024VfL Osnabrück — Greuther Fürth2:0
- 27.10.2023Greuther Fürth — VfL Osnabrück4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 7 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Darmstadt | 7 | 2 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Greuther Fürth | 7 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | -6 | 5 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- Eintracht BraunschweigHannover 96preliminary2728462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- Holstein KielDynamo Dresdenpreliminary4827261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →