UEFA Champions League, round 4 · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Viking — Sabah FK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Viking are clear favourites: 70% against 12% for the opponent, draw 18%.
The model expects few goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- Viking's starting XI is worth €20m, Sabah FK's €8m (Transfermarkt).
- By the strength ratings Viking are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Viking — No. 27, 1 pt; Sabah FK — No. 22, 3 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Viking: unbeaten in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Viking — Sabah FK What is xG? | 2.3–0.9 | |
| Viking not to lose | 88% | |
| Sabah FK not to lose | 30% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Viking
- Viking goals
- Sabah FK goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 13.10Bayern München3:3
- 09.10away · Brann2:0
- 20.09Lillestrøm3:0
- 13.09Kristiansund8:1
- 09.09away · VfB Stuttgart1:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 22, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Sabah FK | 2 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 23, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 0 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Viking | 2 | 0 | -2 | 1 |
| 28 | Fenerbahçe | 2 | 0 | -6 | 1 |
Champions League on the same day
- FenerbahçeLiverpoolpreliminary3326412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- AEK AthensReal Madridpreliminary1923592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- Borussia DortmundReal Betispreliminary6321161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- FC PortoNapolipreliminary5224231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- PSV EindhovenClub Bruggepreliminary4825271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- RB LeipzigManchester Citypreliminary2425512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- Slavia PragueArsenalpreliminary916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.3
- LensComopreliminary3326412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →