J1 League (Japan), round 14 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Vissel Kobe — Urawa Red Diamonds
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Vissel Kobe are clear favourites: 46% against 26% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vissel Kobe are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Vissel Kobe are 198 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Vissel Kobe — No. 5, 26 pts; Urawa Red Diamonds — No. 9, 21 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Vissel Kobe 2 wins, Urawa Red Diamonds 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vissel Kobe — Urawa Red Diamonds What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Vissel Kobe not to lose | 74% | |
| Urawa Red Diamonds not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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- Handicap Vissel Kobe
- Vissel Kobe goals
- Urawa Red Diamonds goals
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Vissel Kobe | Urawa Red Diamonds |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| xG per match | 1.62 | 1.35 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.33 | 1.15 |
| Shots | 13.9 | 16.3 |
| On target | 5.3 | 4.1 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 6.0 |
| Cards | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Possession, % | 50 | 56 |
Form
- 31.10Nagoya Grampus3:1
- 24.10Machida Zelvia0:0
- 21.10away · Kawasaki Frontale1:2
- 18.10away · Fagiano Okayama FC3:0
- 09.10away · Kashiwa Reysol2:4
- 31.10away · Kashiwa Reysol0:4
- 25.10V-Varen Nagasaki1:0
- 21.10JEF United Chiba3:2
- 17.10away · Mito Hollyhock1:0
- 10.10away · FC Tokyo0:3
Head to head
- 04.10.2025Urawa Red Diamonds — Vissel Kobe1:0
- 15.02.2025Vissel Kobe — Urawa Red Diamonds0:0
- 28.09.2024Vissel Kobe — Urawa Red Diamonds1:0
- 01.06.2024Urawa Red Diamonds — Vissel Kobe1:1
- 12.11.2023Urawa Red Diamonds — Vissel Kobe1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | +10 | 28 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | +9 | 26 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 7 | +7 | 23 |
| 8 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 13 | 5 | +6 | 21 |
| 9 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 13 | 7 | -6 | 21 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 13 | 5 | -6 | 16 |
J1 League on the same day
- 3031392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- 4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- 4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →