Belgian Pro League, round 8 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Het Kuipje
Westerlo — Royal Antwerp
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
5:1Came true
In short
Final score 5:1: the model's most likely outcome, Westerlo to win (47%), came true.
Westerlo are clear favourites: 47% against 27% for the opponent, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Westerlo are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Westerlo — Royal Antwerp What is xG? | 1.8–1.4 | |
| Westerlo not to lose | 73% | |
| Royal Antwerp not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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Form
- 20.09away · St.Truiden2:0
- 12.09Standard Liège4:2
- 05.09away · KV Mechelen4:0
- 30.08Zulte Waregem2:2
- 23.08away · Lommel0:4
- 20.09Union St.Gilloise0:2
- 13.09away · Club Brugge1:3
- 05.09away · Standard Liège0:1
- 30.08St.Truiden1:4
- 22.08Genk4:4
Head to head
- 23.05.2026Royal Antwerp — Westerlo2:0
- 25.04.2026Westerlo — Royal Antwerp2:4
- 15.02.2026Royal Antwerp — Westerlo0:2
- 30.08.2025Westerlo — Royal Antwerp2:0
- 19.01.2025Royal Antwerp — Westerlo3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Westerlo | 8 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 12 | St.Truiden | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Royal Antwerp | 8 | 2 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | -8 | 6 |
Next matches
- WesterloPatro Eisden16 October · Belgian Cup791471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
- KSK HeistRoyal Antwerp17 October · Belgian Cup1219692The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- 342937XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:0.2.7
- 781561The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
- 3028422The most likely outcome did not happen: 24:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 0:1.2.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →