Belgian Pro League, round 12 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Zulte Waregem — Royal Antwerp
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zulte Waregem are slightly stronger: 42% against 30%, draw 28%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Zulte Waregem are 66 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Zulte Waregem — No. 10, 11 pts; Royal Antwerp — No. 11, 10 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Zulte Waregem 1 win, Royal Antwerp 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zulte Waregem — Royal Antwerp What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| Zulte Waregem not to lose | 70% | |
| Royal Antwerp not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Zulte Waregem
- Zulte Waregem goals
- Royal Antwerp goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Zulte Waregem | Royal Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| xG per match | 1.29 | 1.45 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.50 | 2.23 |
| Shots | 12.6 | 14.1 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.9 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| Cards | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| Possession, % | 42 | 49 |
Form
- 30.10Club Brugge2:4
- 24.10away · RAAL La Louvière0:3
- 17.10RFC Seraing3:0
- 10.10Gent0:2
- 19.09away · Anderlecht0:3
- 01.11away · Cercle Brugge1:2
- 24.10Sporting Charleroi3:0
- 17.10away · KSK Heist1:0
- 11.10away · Westerlo1:5
- 20.09Union St.Gilloise0:2
Head to head
- 27.12.2025Royal Antwerp — Zulte Waregem2:1
- 27.09.2025Zulte Waregem — Royal Antwerp2:0
- 31.03.2023Zulte Waregem — Royal Antwerp0:2
- 31.07.2022Royal Antwerp — Zulte Waregem1:0
- 19.03.2022Royal Antwerp — Zulte Waregem1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Standard Liège | 10 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Royal Antwerp | 10 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 10 | 3 | -7 | 10 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- Sporting CharleroiSt.Truidenpreliminary5227221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- GenkRAAL La Louvièrepreliminary7118101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- KV MechelenClub Bruggepreliminary1321662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →