Premier League: matchday 7 predictions
17–19 October · 10 matches · season 2026/27
Premier League matchday 7: 10 matches, 17–19 October. The model expects 2.9 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 6 matches, an away win in 1 and a draw in 3. In matchday 6 the most likely outcome came true in 7 of 10 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favourite · Most goals expectedManchester City — Ipswich TownManchester City 83% to win; most likely score 3:1; 3.6 goals on average; over 2.5: 70%
- Closest matchBrentford — Liverpool35% v 35%, draw 29%
- Possible upsetFulham — Hull CityHull City 21% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
What is at stake
Manchester City lead with 18 points from 6 matches; Arsenal are second, 3 points behind. The leader’s game this round: Manchester City — Ipswich Town, 83% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Manchester City 46%, Arsenal 34%.
In the relegation zone: AFC Bournemouth, Tottenham Hotspur and Fulham; they are 1 to 2 points behind 17th place. A game at the bottom: AFC Bournemouth — Sunderland. Most at risk by the season forecast: Tottenham Hotspur, 48% to go down.
The matches
Saturday, 17 October
- 333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
- 352935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- 5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 831251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.6
- 4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
Sunday, 18 October
- 5625181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 5028211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- 323038XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:23.0
- 1525602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
Monday, 19 October
- 4527271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
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