Saudi Pro League: matchday 9 predictions
15–17 October · 9 matches · season 2026/27
Saudi Pro League matchday 9: 9 matches, 15–17 October. The model expects 3.0 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 6 matches, an away win in 1 and a draw in 2. In matchday 8 the most likely outcome came true in 5 of 8 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favouriteAl Qadsiah — AbhaAl Qadsiah 88% to win; most likely score 3:1
- Closest matchAl-Faisaly — Al Kholood34% v 36%, draw 30%
- Most goals expectedAl Riyadh — Al Hilal3.8 goals on average; over 2.5: 73%
- Possible upsetAl Ittihad — Al ShababAl Shabab 22% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
What is at stake
Al Hilal lead with 21 points from 8 matches; Al Qadsiah are second, 2 points behind. The leader’s game this round: Al Riyadh — Al Hilal, 81% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Al Hilal 60%, Al Qadsiah 23%.
In the relegation zone: Al Fateh FC, Al-Taawoun and Abha; they are up to 1 point behind 15th place. Most at risk by the season forecast: Abha, 55% to go down.
The matches
Thursday, 15 October
- 343036XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
- 4330261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 372934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.0
Friday, 16 October
- 88931The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.6
- 514812The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:43.8
- 5227221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
Saturday, 17 October
- 5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 4530241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
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