Ukrainian Premier League: matchday 9 predictions
16–19 October · 8 matches · season 2026/27
Ukrainian Premier League matchday 9: 8 matches, 16–19 October. The model expects 2.3 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 4 matches, an away win in 1 and a draw in 3. In matchday 8 the most likely outcome came true in 5 of 7 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favouriteShakhtar Donetsk — FC Kolos KovalivkaShakhtar Donetsk 78% to win; most likely score 1:0
- Closest matchKryvbas — LNZ Cherkasy36% v 33%, draw 31%
- Most goals expected · Top-of-the-table clashPolissya Zhytomyr — Dynamo Kyiv2.7 goals on average; over 2.5: 50%; 2nd v 3rd in the table
- Possible upsetZorya — Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets Odesa 15% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
What is at stake
Shakhtar Donetsk lead with 21 points from 8 matches; Polissya Zhytomyr are second, 2 points behind. The leader’s game this round: Shakhtar Donetsk — FC Kolos Kovalivka, 78% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Shakhtar Donetsk 72%, Polissya Zhytomyr 12%.
In the relegation and relegation play-off places: Kryvbas, Chornomorets Odesa, Obolon Kyiv and Kudrivka; they are 2 to 5 points behind 12th place. Most at risk by the season forecast: Kudrivka, 81% to go down.
The matches
Friday, 16 October
- 293239XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
Saturday, 17 October
- 6025151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 2731422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.1
- 781661The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
Sunday, 18 October
- 363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
- 383031XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- 6224141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
Monday, 19 October
- 6525111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:01.8
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
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