AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Abbotsford Canucks — Tucson Roadrunners
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tucson Roadrunners are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Abbotsford Canucks — No. 2, 15 pts; Tucson Roadrunners — No. 5, 16 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Abbotsford Canucks: 5 wins in a row; Tucson Roadrunners: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Abbotsford Canucks 4 wins, Tucson Roadrunners 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Abbotsford Canucks — Tucson Roadrunners | 2.6–2.8 | |
| Abbotsford Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Tucson Roadrunners to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Abbotsford Canucks
- Abbotsford Canucks goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 31.10away · Bakersfield Condors5:1
- 29.10away · San Jose Barracuda5:2
- 26.10Calgary Wranglers4:2
- 25.10Calgary Wranglers3:1
- 19.10Coachella Valley Firebirds5:4 SO
- 01.11away · Ontario Reign3:2
- 31.10away · Ontario Reign5:4
- 29.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds5:1
- 25.10away · Henderson Silver Knights4:1
- 24.10away · Henderson Silver Knights1:2 OT
Head to head
- 21.12.2025Abbotsford Canucks — Tucson Roadrunners2:1
- 20.12.2025Abbotsford Canucks — Tucson Roadrunners4:2
- 30.11.2025Tucson Roadrunners — Abbotsford Canucks2:5
- 29.11.2025Tucson Roadrunners — Abbotsford Canucks4:1
- 27.04.2025Abbotsford Canucks — Tucson Roadrunners5:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 11 | 8 | +17 | 18 | .818 |
| 2 | Abbotsford Canucks | 10 | 7 | +12 | 15 | .750 |
| 3 | Utica Comets | 8 | 6 | +1 | 12 | .750 |
| 4 | Laval Rocket | 11 | 8 | +18 | 16 | .727 |
| 5 | Tucson Roadrunners | 11 | 7 | +12 | 16 | .727 |
| 6 | Milwaukee Admirals | 10 | 7 | +6 | 14 | .700 |
AHL on the same day
- Hamilton HammersBelleville Senatorspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- Hershey BearsRochester Americanspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Springfield ThunderbirdsCharlotte Checkerspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
- Manitoba MooseRockford IceHogspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
- Texas StarsSan Jose Barracudapreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:46.3
- Colorado EaglesGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- San Diego GullsIowa Wildpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →